We said: Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Bahia
With the exception of Gilberto, neither side are particularly sharp in the final third, but Goianiense are a lot better at shutting down the opposition in transition than Bahia, who have not scored in four straight road games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
