MX23RW : Friday, January 17 19:47:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hoffenheim

Dortmund may have drawn three of their last four competitive matches, but they have won each of their previous six meetings with Hoffenheim, and we think that they will do enough to beat a side that have lost four of their last five away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
67.69% (0.32299999999999 0.32) 16.83% (-0.129 -0.13) 15.48% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.59% (0.247 0.25)26.41% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.26% (0.313 0.31)46.74% (-0.315 -0.31)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (0.126 0.13)7.26% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (0.327 0.33)26.3% (-0.328 -0.33)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)29.91% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)66.01% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.69%
    Hoffenheim 15.48%
    Draw 16.83%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.17% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.76% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 3.12% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.71% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.19% (0.026 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 67.69%
1-1 @ 6.87% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.83%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
93.9%
Draw
4.5%
Hoffenheim
1.5%
66
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt17103440241633
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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