Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.