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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05

Petersen (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mateta (2', 34', 40')
Niakhate (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
41.24%25.72%33.04%
Both teams to score 54.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56%49.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52%71.48%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1%57.9%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.24%
    Mainz 05 33.04%
    Draw 25.71%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
1-2
Freiburg
Mateta (82')
Baku (26'), Hack (40'), Kunde (51'), Niakhate (82')
Chang-Hoon (28'), Petersen (41')
Haberer (37'), Abrashi (82')
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-0
Mainz
Holer (81'), Schmid (84'), Waldschmidt (87' pen.)
Lienhart (62')

St Juste (11'), Latza (30'), Fernandes (34')
Apr 5, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Mainz
5-0
Freiburg
Boetius (20'), Mateta (25', 33', 77'), Onisiwo (73')
Kunde (41'), Latza (57'), Maxim (64')

Hofler (45')
Nov 10, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
1-3
Mainz
Sallai (72')
Hofler (67'), Gulde (77')
Gbamin (6'), Mateta (18'), Onisiwo (75')
Onisiwo (84')
Apr 16, 2018 7.30pm
Mainz
2-0
Freiburg
De Blasis (45' pen., 79')
Balogun (75')

Haberer (30'), Gulde (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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