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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
55.9% ( 0.24) | 22.49% ( -0.08) | 21.6% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.52% ( 0.14) | 43.48% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.12% ( 0.14) | 65.87% ( -0.14) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% ( 0.13) | 15.39% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.79% ( 0.24) | 44.2% ( -0.25) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.96% ( -0.08) | 34.04% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.27% ( -0.09) | 70.72% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 21.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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