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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
47.73% ( -0.29) | 23.48% ( 0.18) | 28.79% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% ( -0.75) | 41.27% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% ( -0.77) | 63.67% ( 0.77) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% ( -0.4) | 17.52% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.96% ( -0.7) | 48.03% ( 0.7) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.89% ( -0.3) | 27.11% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.5% ( -0.4) | 62.5% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.88% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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