MX23RW : Friday, January 31 03:15:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
vs.
RB Leipzig

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, January 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Union Berlin 1-3 RB Leipzig

Given that both sides have been vulnerable defensively in recent weeks, fans can expect an entertaining clash. While Union will be looking to capitalise on Leipzig's poor form, they have not shown that they are able to reliably convert chances into goals, and it would not be surprising if the visitors were more clinical in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 36.88% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.14%).

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
36.88% (-2.748 -2.75) 25.63% (-0.16 -0.16) 37.48% (2.909 2.91)
Both teams to score 55.51% (0.793 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.914 0.91)48.54% (-0.91500000000001 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (0.826 0.83)70.67% (-0.827 -0.83)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-1.072 -1.07)25.66% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (-1.481 -1.48)60.56% (1.481 1.48)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (2.111 2.11)25.33% (-2.111 -2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (2.814 2.81)60.11% (-2.814 -2.81)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 36.88%
    RB Leipzig 37.48%
    Draw 25.63%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.625 -0.63)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.627 -0.63)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.88%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.421 0.42)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.486 0.49)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.405 0.41)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.373 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.202 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.207 0.21)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.48%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig?

Union Berlin
Draw
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
RB Leipzig
50.0%
2
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
0-0
Union Berlin
Haidara (53'), Kampl (74')
Benes (26'), Khedira (61'), Svensson (84'), Doekhi (85')
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
2-0
Union Berlin
Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!