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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
47% ( 0.07) | 23.04% ( -0.02) | 29.95% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 62.49% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.51% ( 0.04) | 38.49% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.22% ( 0.04) | 60.78% ( -0.04) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.27% ( 0.04) | 16.73% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.36% ( 0.07) | 46.64% ( -0.07) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.04% ( -0.02) | 24.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.4% ( -0.02) | 59.59% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 4.31% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 33 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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