MX23RW : Friday, January 17 10:24:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Stuttgart

Maehle (50'), Nmecha (83')
Arnold (3'), Baku (22'), Maehle (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (14', 54' pen.), Vagnomann (77')
Anton (58'), Karazor (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg
Sunday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Despite a minor slip up last week, Stuttgart are still moving clear of those below them in the race for the Champions League and will be favourites against a side with just two wins in 17. With two extremely difficult games ahead on paper against third-placed Stuttgart here, and unbeaten Bayer Leverkusen next, Wolfsburg may find themselves ominously closer to the bottom three in a couple of weeks time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
27.9% (-0.121 -0.12) 23.72% (0.418 0.42) 48.38% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-1.555 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (-2.009 -2.01)42.99% (2.014 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (-2.022 -2.02)65.39% (2.025 2.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-1.117 -1.12)28.61% (1.121 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-1.421 -1.42)64.42% (1.424 1.42)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.878 -0.88)17.93% (0.881 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-1.532 -1.53)48.74% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.9%
    Stuttgart 48.38%
    Draw 23.72%
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.367 0.37)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.443 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.525 0.53)
0-2 @ 7.58% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.34% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 48.38%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
15.5%
Draw
17.9%
Stuttgart
66.7%
84
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Stuttgart
3-1
Wolfsburg
Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt17103440241633
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!