MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 00:09:38| >> :120:3850:3850:
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | League Stage
Sep 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Leipzig logo

Atletico
vs.
RB Leipzig

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Atletico Madrid 3-1 RB Leipzig

Atletico have not lost at home to a German club in the 21st century, and enter the fixture high on confidence after another big win at the weekend over Valencia. Both sides are very strong in attack, with Antoine Griezmann and Alvarez facing up against Xavi Simons, Lois Openda and Benjamin Sesko, but home advantage and the Simeone effect could give Atletico the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 28.12% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawRB Leipzig
48.88% (-2.69 -2.69) 22.99% (0.326 0.33) 28.12% (2.363 2.36)
Both teams to score 61.34% (1.009 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (0.387 0.39)39.44% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (0.403 0.4)61.78% (-0.405 -0.41)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.812 -0.81)16.39% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (-1.489 -1.49)46.03% (1.487 1.49)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (1.901 1.9)26.63% (-1.902 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (2.448 2.45)61.87% (-2.449 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 48.88%
    RB Leipzig 28.12%
    Draw 22.99%
Atletico MadridDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.544 -0.54)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.458 -0.46)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.206 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.41 0.41)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.201 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.33 0.33)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.229 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.156 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.12%

Who will win Thursday's Champions League clash between Atletico and RB Leipzig?

Atletico Madrid
Draw
RB Leipzig
Atletico Madrid
81.0%
Draw
11.4%
RB Leipzig
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2020 8pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-1
Atletico
Olmo (51'), Adams (88')
Klostermann (70'), Kampl (82'), Haidara (87')
Felix (71' pen.)
Lodi (62'), Gimenez (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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