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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Charlotte FC

Orlando City
2 - 0
Charlotte FC

Torres (52'), McGuire (89')
Ojeda (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (42'), Araujo (83'), Cartagena (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bronico (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 New England
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Charlotte FC

Despite entering this fixture on a four-match winless run against Charlotte, Orlando's five-game undefeated sequence on home turf (four wins) means the hosts are backed to beat Smith's team. Although the away side have a knack for scoring on their travels, underscored by finding the net in nine of their last 10 road matches, they could fall to back-to-back away losses against an in-form opponent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
58.64% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 21.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 19.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.22% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (0.038000000000004 0.04)66.6% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (0.0039999999999907 0)14.75% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.01% (0.013999999999996 0.01)42.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3% (0.041000000000004 0.04)36.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 58.64%
    Charlotte FC 19.37%
    Draw 21.98%
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 58.64%
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.37%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Charlotte FC

Orlando City
78.9%
Draw
10.5%
Charlotte FC
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC
2-2
Orlando City
Vargas (12'), Bronico (77')
Byrne (90+1')
Arfield (38')
McGuire (64'), Torres (81')
McGuire (27'), Torres (50')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-1
Orlando City
Copetti (81' pen.)
Jones (72'), Copetti (90+5')
Ojeda (88')
Felipe (68'), Araujo (75')
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Aug 22, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Orlando City
Gaines (66')
McNeill (23'), Jones (68')
Kara (62'), Akindele (89')
Mulraney (8'), Torres (42'), Carlos (48'), Pereyra (82')
rhs 2.0
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