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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Montreal Impact

New England
2 - 2
Montreal

Wood (24'), Bajraktarevic (35')
Miller (80'), Boateng (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pearce (54'), Saliba (68')
Pearce (49'), Marshall-Rutty (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 New England
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-0 CF Montreal

Neither side have been particularly consistent, but the Revs have started to buy into the methods of Caleb Porter and against a disorganised Montreal defence, we expect a quality chance creator like Carles Gil will be able to unlock that backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
53.31% (0.844 0.84) 22.68% (-0.221 -0.22) 24% (-0.626 -0.63)
Both teams to score 58.34% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.395 0.39)41.59% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (0.399 0.4)63.99% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.434 0.43)15.61% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.4% (0.8 0.8)44.6% (-0.802 -0.8)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.295 -0.3)30.87% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.348 -0.35)67.15% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 53.31%
    CF Montreal 24%
    Draw 22.67%
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 53.31%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24%

How you voted: New England vs Montreal

New England Revolution
64.0%
Draw
16.0%
CF Montreal
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
Montreal
0-5
New England

Duke (82'), Edwards (85')
Wood (7', 37'), Lima (72'), Vrioni (79'), Langoni (83')
Kaye (30')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
New England
4-0
Montreal
Borrero (21'), Gil (45+4' pen.), Wood (50'), Vrioni (86')
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-0
New England
Kamara (26'), Quioto (39', 55'), Miljevic (90+1' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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