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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
56.02% ( -0.14) | 21.18% ( 0.03) | 22.8% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 62.18% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.14% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.06% ( -0.02) | 57.94% ( 0.02) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% ( -0.05) | 12.8% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% ( -0.1) | 39.11% ( 0.1) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( 0.08) | 28.7% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% ( 0.1) | 64.52% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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