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Benfica
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Inter logo

Benfica
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Silva (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barella (51'), Lukaku (82' pen.)
Brozovic (50'), Dzeko (83')

The Match

Match Report

Nicolo Barella and Romelu Lukaku goals see Inter Milan beat Benfica 2-0 in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final in Lisbon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Inter Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Inter Milan could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Benfica at Estadio da Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawInter Milan
43.78% (0.399 0.4) 23.28% (-0.197 -0.2) 32.94% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 63.18% (0.648 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.886 0.89)38.23% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (0.933 0.93)60.51% (-0.93 -0.93)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.523 0.52)17.89% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (0.89 0.89)48.67% (-0.886 -0.89)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.306 0.31)23.06% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.447 0.45)56.88% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 43.78%
    Inter Milan 32.94%
    Draw 23.28%
BenficaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Benfica vs Inter Milan

Benfica
75.2%
Draw
14.0%
Inter Milan
10.8%
435
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