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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
3 - 0
Bristol City

Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mejbri (45+1'), Sanderson (52'), Bielik (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Scott (64'), Kadji (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Bristol City

With little splitting the two sides, we see this one finishing as a draw. Bristol City are a threat going forward and will have opportunities, but they have shown defensive frailties and are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. As such, Birmingham should be good enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
31.3% (0.112 0.11) 25.72% (0.032 0.03) 42.98% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)50.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.99% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.028999999999996 0.03)29.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.111 -0.11)23.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (-0.163 -0.16)57.02% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.3%
    Bristol City 42.97%
    Draw 25.72%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
48.4%
Draw
35.5%
Bristol City
16.1%
62
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Bristol City

Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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