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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Leicester logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Leicester

Greenwood (83')
Crooks (42'), Howson (85'), Jones (88'), Rogers (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vestergaard (12'), Winks (43'), Choudhury (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Leicester City

Middlesbrough have struggled defensively since returning from October's international break, and the visit of the division's most-potent attack will ask plenty of questions of the Boro backline. Leicester were unable to breach a stubborn Leeds side after the Whites went ahead at the King Power, but Maresca's men should fare well against a Middlesbrough team who like to take risks offensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
36.69% (0.928 0.93) 23.88% (0.246 0.25) 39.43% (-1.177 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.87% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-1.088 -1.09)40.32% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-1.131 -1.13)62.7% (1.126 1.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-1.011 -1.01)20.66% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-1.614 -1.61)53.25% (1.61 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 36.69%
    Leicester City 39.43%
    Draw 23.88%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.336 0.34)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.43%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leicester

Middlesbrough
11.4%
Draw
4.5%
Leicester City
84.1%
44
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2017 12.30pm
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Leicester
2-2
Middlesbrough
Mahrez (35' pen.), Slimani (94' pen.)
Albrighton (29'), Fuchs (37'), Amartey (51'), Vardy (65')
Negredo (13', 71')
Chambers (31'), Negredo (34'), Valdes (91'), de Roon (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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