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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Leicester
4 - 0
Plymouth

Mavididi (14' pen., 52'), Daka (49'), Ndidi (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gibson (42'), Miller (44'), Galloway (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, December 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Plymouth Argyle

Leicester will be delighted to be back at the King Power following two tricky Championship outings, where the home faithful will demand maximum points and a dominant display from the league leaders. Plymouth are one of three sides in the Championship who are yet to taste success on the road this season, so we are expecting the Pilgrims to struggle in the East Midlands on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
65.28% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 19.3% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 15.42% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.97% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.09% (-0.175 -0.18)38.91% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (-0.184 -0.18)61.22% (0.182 0.18)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)11.17% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)35.66% (0.149 0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)38.11% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)74.87% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 65.27%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.42%
    Draw 19.3%
Leicester CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 9% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.3%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 15.42%

How you voted: Leicester vs Plymouth

Leicester City
97.1%
Draw
2.9%
Plymouth Argyle
0.0%
35
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Leicester
Noone (39')
Arnason (26')
Arnason (32' og.)
Brown (54'), Gallagher (78')
Nov 21, 2009 3pm
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Leicester
0-1
Plymouth

Howard (30'), Hume (78'), Laczko (90')
Halmosi (34')
Connolly (45')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Leicester
Halmosi (15'), Ebanks-Blake (46'), Hayles (62')

Jarrett (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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