Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Blackburn4 - 2Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Birmingham City
Blackburn had to dig deep at points to hold onto their lead against Stoke, and their counter-attacking abilities could pay dividends once again against a Birmingham side who have been more expansive since the arrival of Rooney. Blues will have one eye on the home clash with relegation-threatened Rotherham United on Saturday as another must-win, and in the meantime we expect the visitors to show their defensive frailties on the road at Ewood Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
52.82% ( 1) | 23.52% ( 0.09) | 23.67% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
