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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Watford logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Watford

Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Watford
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Watford

Bristol City will be full of belief after upsetting West Ham in midweek, but it remains to be seen whether they can build on such a strong performance. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see if Watford manage to earn a share of the spoils, fresh from having a midweek off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawWatford
36.59% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 26.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 37.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 54.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.043999999999997 0.04)50.33% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.27% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.024999999999991 0.02)26.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.022000000000006 0.02)26.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.028999999999996 0.03)61.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 36.59%
    Watford 37.37%
    Draw 26.04%
Bristol CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.37%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Watford

Bristol City
41.9%
Draw
29.0%
Watford
29.0%
31
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
Nov 25, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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