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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Watford logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Watford

Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Watford

Plymouth's home form this season has been excellent, but Watford have lost just four of their 11 matches on their travels, so we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. A draw would not be the worst result for either team on Monday, and we are predicting a 1-1 in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
41.77%24.03%34.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 60.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.09%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 41.77%
    Watford 34.2%
    Draw 24.03%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.85%
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 41.77%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.2%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Watford

Plymouth Argyle
55.0%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
Sep 16, 2008 3pm
Watford
1-2
Plymouth
O'Toole (83')
Smith (73')
Duguid (30'), Summerfield (72' pen.)
Paterson (55'), Doumbé (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton41249881542781
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston42189155657-163
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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