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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Watford |
36.55% ( -0.04) | 27.3% ( 0.03) | 36.14% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.97% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.44% ( -0.11) | 55.55% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.27% ( -0.09) | 76.73% ( 0.09) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.81% ( -0.08) | 29.19% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.87% ( -0.1) | 65.13% ( 0.1) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( -0.04) | 29.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% ( -0.05) | 65.43% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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