MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:41:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Gnonto (14'), James (74'), Aaronson (90+2')
Wober (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wober (54' og.)
Edmundson (71'), Dijksteel (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Derby
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-2 Middlesbrough

 Leeds should come into the clash as slight favourites due to their exceptional home record and strong defensive performances in recent weeks. Middlesbrough have struggled to keep opponents at bay, but they have been phenomenal in attack, and while they might lose on Tuesday due to their leaky defence, they will no doubt create chances in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
56.31% (0.14 0.14) 23.12% (0.073 0.07) 20.56% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 52.21% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-0.574 -0.57)47.51% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-0.533 -0.53)69.72% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)16.67% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (-0.278 -0.28)46.54% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)37.34% (0.541 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (-0.537 -0.54)74.12% (0.535 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 56.31%
    Middlesbrough 20.56%
    Draw 23.12%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 56.31%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 20.56%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
68.4%
Draw
20.4%
Middlesbrough
11.2%
98
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 8pm
First Round
Leeds
0-3
Middlesbrough

Byram (35'), Firpo (45+4'), Struijk (90+3')
Dijksteel (50'), Burgzorg (60'), Coburn (67')
Howson (25'), Ayling (69'), Gilbert (76')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-4
Leeds
Jones (7'), Latte Lath (30', 87')
Latte Lath (35'), Jones (78'), Howson (80')
Summerville (14' pen., 61'), Bamford (18'), Gnonto (39')
Bamford (45+2')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
3-2
Middlesbrough
James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Middlesbrough
0-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
4-0
Middlesbrough
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!