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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Middlesbrough logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Plymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Middlesbrough

With Plymouth having impressed at home, they will back themselves to get the better of their opponents who may be fatigued. Nevertheless, we feel that Boro's superior quality will ultimately shine through, potentially during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
22.17% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20.89% (-0.087 -0.09) 56.93% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.72% (0.434 0.43)35.27% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.7% (0.482 0.48)57.29% (-0.486 -0.49)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.26000000000001 0.26)28.9% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (0.322 0.32)64.77% (-0.327 -0.33)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (0.15599999999999 0.16)12.34% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (0.334 0.33)38.16% (-0.338 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 22.17%
    Middlesbrough 56.93%
    Draw 20.89%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 22.17%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.93%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Middlesbrough

Plymouth Argyle
45.5%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
1-2
Middlesbrough
Crooks (15'), Tavernier (68')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Middlesbrough

Duguid (75')
McManus (22')
Lita (41'), Hoyte (42'), Robson (75'), Williams (85')
Oct 31, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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