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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Rotherham logo

Plymouth
3 - 2
Rotherham

Azaz (45+5' pen., 52'), Whittaker (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lindsay (16'), Eaves (77')
Ayala (25'), Odofin (36'), Nombe (45+3'), Lindsay (49'), Rathbone (90+2'), Johansson (90+3')
Ayala (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Rotherham United

After battling through 70 minutes with 10 players in the week against QPR, an 11-man Plymouth will be raring to rack up the goals against the division's bottom side at Home Park. Rotherham did not look like scoring on Tuesday night and considering their woeful record on the road, we cannot imagine a result for the Millers from their maiden away trip under Richardson. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawRotherham United
52.92% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 23.71% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 23.37% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.13% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (0.29 0.29)46.81% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (0.271 0.27)69.07% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.093000000000004 0.09)17.65% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.16 0.16)48.25% (-0.158 -0.16)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (0.238 0.24)34.27% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (0.254 0.25)70.97% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 52.92%
    Rotherham United 23.37%
    Draw 23.71%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Rotherham

Plymouth Argyle
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Rotherham United
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-1
Rotherham

Camara (26'), Edwards (29')
Smith (63')
Barlaser (25'), Rathbone (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Rotherham
2-0
Plymouth
Ladapo (10'), Wiles (38')
Barlaser (49'), Lindsay (66')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Rotherham
Grant (56'), Carey (90' pen.)
Towell (33')
Williams (51'), Rodak (92')
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Plymouth
Ajayi (90')
Towell (36'), Wood (42')
Wood (50')
Taylor (82')
Carey (40'), Taylor (83')
Apr 20, 2013 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Rotherham

Nelson (75'), Gurrieri (90')
Agard (75')
Revell (10'), Agard (19'), Arnason (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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