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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Deepdale
Leicester logo

Preston
0 - 3
Leicester


Browne (46'), Hughes (54'), Brady (62'), Holmes (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vardy (36', 52'), McAteer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-2 Leicester City

Given that Leicester were in celebratory on Friday night, it remains unclear how they will rock up for this contest. Although they will be eager to win the title, we do not expect them to perform to their absolute best, leading us to predict a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
29.22% (-2.882 -2.88) 23.67% (0.755 0.75) 47.1% (2.122 2.12)
Both teams to score 59.73% (-4.439 -4.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.128 -5.13)41.91% (5.123 5.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-5.361 -5.36)64.32% (5.356 5.36)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-4.311 -4.31)27.15% (4.305 4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-5.98 -5.98)62.54% (5.974 5.97)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-1.176 -1.18)18.01% (1.172 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (-2.052 -2.05)48.88% (2.047 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 29.22%
    Leicester City 47.1%
    Draw 23.67%
Preston North EndDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.696 0.7)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.621 -0.62)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.81 0.81)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.043 1.04)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.428 -0.43)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.355 0.36)
0-1 @ 8.38% (1.529 1.53)
0-2 @ 7.18% (1.081 1.08)
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.48 0.48)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Preston vs Leicester

Preston North End
17.9%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leicester
3-0
Preston
Dewsbury-Hall (60', 90'), Iheanacho (76')

Woodburn (82'), Stewart (86')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Leicester
McCann (49')
Vardy (12'), Barnes (18')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-1
Leicester
Clarke (57')
Moore (25')
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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