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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
36.48% ( -0) | 24.58% ( -0.02) | 38.94% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( 0.11) | 43.71% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( 0.11) | 66.1% ( -0.11) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% ( 0.05) | 23.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% ( 0.07) | 57.76% ( -0.07) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( 0.06) | 22.38% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.12% ( 0.09) | 55.88% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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