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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Birmingham logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Birmingham

Weimann (85')
Kipre (34'), Corberan (34'), Furlong (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (33'), Bielik (55'), Dozzell (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Birmingham City

Despite losing to Wolves last time out, West Brom showed signs of promise against their Premier League visitors and will be desperate to get back to winning ways this weekend. Birmingham could have a different look to them with a number of January signings in line for their full debuts, and we feel that Blues will be able to earn a point at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
60.03% (-0.382 -0.38) 21.8% (0.194 0.19) 18.17% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.544 -0.54)45.24% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.521 -0.52)67.58% (0.518 0.52)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.303 -0.3)14.65% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.578 -0.58)42.79% (0.574 0.57)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (-0.105 -0.1)38.62% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)75.36% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 60.02%
    Birmingham City 18.17%
    Draw 21.79%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: West Brom vs Birmingham

West Bromwich Albion
44.0%
Draw
48.0%
Birmingham City
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Birmingham
3-1
West Brom
Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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