Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.