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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 25, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Athletic Bilbao logo

Osasuna
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

When you couple Osasuna's strong home form with Athletic Bilbao's impressive away record, all the signs point towards a close-fought battle at El Sadar. Given that only the top six teams have conceded fewer goals than Osasuna and Athletic this season, we expect the European chasers to play out a low-scoring draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
34.47% (0.22300000000001 0.22) 27.22% (0.396 0.4) 38.31% (-0.614 -0.61)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-1.198 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64% (-1.53 -1.53)55.36% (1.534 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.44% (-1.269 -1.27)76.57% (1.274 1.27)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (-0.617 -0.62)30.4% (0.622 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (-0.744 -0.74)66.59% (0.748 0.75)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-1.069 -1.07)28.05% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-1.382 -1.38)63.71% (1.386 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 34.46%
    Athletic Bilbao 38.31%
    Draw 27.22%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.419 0.42)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 34.46%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.494 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.83% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.31%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

Osasuna
25.9%
Draw
35.8%
Athletic Bilbao
38.3%
81
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 8.10pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Osasuna
Williams (33')
Vesga (21'), Sancet (94')
Ibanez (116')
Torro (43'), Barja (75')
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ezzalzouli (47')
Budimir (52'), Gomez (54'), Brasanac (90+1')

Berenguer (40'), Vesga (43'), Martinez (64')
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
gameweek 19
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla371011164752-541
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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