MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:10:45| >> :60:2579:2579:
Bahia
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Gremio

Bahia
1 - 1
Gremio

Stum (47')
Chavez (63'), Kanu (90+8'), Kanu (90'), Mugni (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cuiabano (90+5')
Villasanti (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Bahia and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Gremio
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Gremio
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-1 Gremio

In truth, there was little to split these two teams in the league meeting at Bahia's ground at the weekend, and we can envisage Gremio being more content to settle for a draw given that they will still have the second leg to come at Arena do Gremio next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BahiaDrawGremio
39.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (0.019000000000002 0.02)74.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.02% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)61.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 39.86%
    Gremio 33.56%
    Draw 26.56%
BahiaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Gremio
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bahia
1-2
Gremio
Kayky (20')
Acevedo (37'), Thaciano (69'), Cicinho (90+1')
Cristaldo (9'), Martins (90+5')
Pedro (32'), Portaluppi (44+44'), Kannemann (67')
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Bahia (13'), Nascimento (18'), Danielzinho (85')
Rodrigoinho (32'), Paraiba (45+1'), Mugni (70')
Thiago (62')
Vanderson (36'), Cortez (47'), Kannemann (73')
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 17
Gremio
2-0
Bahia
Borja (50'), Souza (90+5')
Silva (87')

Gilberto (67')
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
2-1
Bahia
Vanderson (16'), Souza (54')
Henrique (51'), Vanderlei (86')
Martins (47')
Andrade (44'), Ramon (51'), Rossi (68'), Gilberto (90')
Sep 10, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Bahia
0-2
Gremio

Paraiba (26')
Gregore (78')
Alisson (25'), Mendes (54')
Mendes (17'), Henrique (49'), (70')
Henrique (64')
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