Fluminense2 - 1Bahia
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
for
We said: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Bahia will have renewed confidence after beating Palmeiras last time out, but Saturday presents a particularly difficult test and we back Fluminense to have just enough to make a return to winning ways on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Bahia |
63.48% ( 0.49) | 21.4% ( -0.18) | 15.13% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% ( 0.16) | 48.77% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% ( 0.15) | 70.87% ( -0.15) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( 0.21) | 14.72% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.08% ( 0.4) | 42.92% ( -0.4) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.43% ( -0.33) | 44.57% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.42% ( -0.27) | 80.58% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Fluminense | Draw | Bahia |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 63.47% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.13% |
How you voted: Fluminense vs Bahia
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59 | 29 | 30 | 79 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 73 |
3 | FlamengoFlamengo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 70 |
4 | FortalezaFortaleza | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 68 |
5 | InternacionalInternacional | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 65 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 59 |
7 | Corinthians | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Bahia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 52 |
10 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 50 |
11 | Vitoria | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 47 |
12 | Atletico Mineiro | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 47 |
13 | Fluminense | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 46 |
14 | Gremio | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
15 | JuventudeJuventude | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 45 |
16 | BragantinoBragantino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 44 |
17 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 42 |
18 | CriciumaCriciuma | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 38 |
19 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 30 |
20 | Cuiaba | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 30 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |