MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 14:12:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bahia

Fluminense
2 - 1
Bahia

Lele (49'), Pirani (51')
Xavier (45+7')
Nino (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mingotti (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia

Bahia will have renewed confidence after beating Palmeiras last time out, but Saturday presents a particularly difficult test and we back Fluminense to have just enough to make a return to winning ways on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
FluminenseDrawBahia
63.48% (0.486 0.49) 21.4% (-0.178 -0.18) 15.13% (-0.308 -0.31)
Both teams to score 47.27% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (0.16099999999999 0.16)48.77% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (0.147 0.15)70.87% (-0.146 -0.15)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (0.206 0.21)14.72% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.08% (0.396 0.4)42.92% (-0.397 -0.4)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43% (-0.329 -0.33)44.57% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.42% (-0.267 -0.27)80.58% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 63.47%
    Bahia 15.13%
    Draw 21.39%
FluminenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.04% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 63.47%
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 15.13%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Bahia

Fluminense
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Bahia
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Bahia
2-0
Fluminense
Gilberto (39' pen., 45+2')
Gilberto (73'), Capixaba (86')
Rossi (66')

Claro (37'), Martins (62'), Yago (70'), Fred (72'), Bobadilla (90+2')
Manoel (66')
Aug 30, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 18
Fluminense
2-0
Bahia
Lucca (36'), Bobadilla (90+7')
Nino (41'), Andre (45+1')

Rossi (29'), de Lucca (35'), Gilberto (77'), Conti (90+6')
Feb 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Bahia
0-1
Fluminense

Capixaba (30')
Henrique (33')
Nino (17')
Oct 11, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 15
Fluminense
1-0
Bahia
Nene (71' pen.)
Barcelos (45+1'), Digao (90+4')

Danielzinho (53'), Fonseca (90+5'), Antonio (90+5')
Oct 12, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 25
Fluminense
2-0
Bahia
Nene (20' pen.), Danielzinho (45')

Pedro (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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