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Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
3 - 1
River Plate

Mercado (70'), Patrick (78')
Aranguiz (58'), Vitao (63'), Wanderson (65'), Patrick (81'), Rochet (86')
FT
(aet)
Rojas (90')
Armani (53'), Solari (58'), Gonzalez Pirez (77')
Internacional win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Internacional 1-1 River Plate (River Plate win 3-2 on aggregate)

The River Plate backline have left a lot to be desired at the Libertadores this year, but they seem to be able to put it all together in these knockout stage affairs, and we believe their dynamic attack and experience in these big games will carry them into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).

Result
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
37.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 37.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)49.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.7% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)60.62% (0.012 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)25.82% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.055 -0.05)60.78% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 37.23%
    River Plate 37.02%
    Draw 25.74%
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.02%

How you voted: Internacional vs River Plate

Internacional
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
River Plate
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
River Plate
2-1
Internacional
Solari (65', 79')
Fernandez (28'), Gonzalez Pirez (45')
Valencia (45+1')
Bustos (20'), Mercado (56'), Aranguiz (62'), Cardoso (69'), Henrique (90+2')
May 8, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
River Plate
2-2
Internacional
Alvarez (35'), Pratto (93')
Lollo (58'), Pratto (80')
Sobis (44', 59')
Sobis (44'), Moledo (94'), Cuesta (94')
Apr 3, 2019 11.15pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-2
River Plate
Lopez (18'), Edenilson (31')
D'Alessandro (39'), Edenilson (41'), Lopez (45'), Dourado (71')
Pratto (42' pen.), De La Cruz (61')
Martinez (29'), De La Cruz (65'), Montiel (69'), Mayada (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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