Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 0Fluminense
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Defensa
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
We said: River Plate 2-1 Fluminense
The manner of the defeat in the reverse fixture naturally left River Plate stunned and in a position where qualification is no longer deemed to be a foregone conclusion. However, they are a different side at home, and we feel that their battling qualities will lead to a potentially-decisive victory over the group leaders. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.15%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Fluminense |
54.15% ( 0.38) | 22.92% ( -0.02) | 22.93% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
