Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 1, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 0Penarol
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Penarol |
| 56.23% | 24.26% | 19.51% |
| Both teams to score 47.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
