Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol4 - 0Corinthians
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Penarol and Corinthians.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Corinthians |
| 53.75% | 24.76% | 21.48% |
| Both teams to score 48.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
