MX23RW : Wednesday, May 21 13:29:36| >> :600:4104263:4104263:
Lyon
Coupe de France | Final
May 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lyon
1 - 2
PSG

O'Brien (55')
Caleta-Car (45+2'), Tagliafico (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dembele (22'), Ruiz (34')
Dembele (88')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe closes his Paris Saint-Germain chapter with another Coupe de France winners' medal as Luis Enrique's side beat Lyon 2-1 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
37.09% (0.423 0.42) 23.66% (0.055 0.05) 39.25% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (-0.229 -0.23)39.19% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (-0.237 -0.24)61.52% (0.234 0.23)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.107 0.11)21.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.167 0.17)54.24% (-0.169 -0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.318 -0.32)20.26% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.511 -0.51)52.6% (0.508 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 37.09%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.25%
    Draw 23.65%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.092 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.25%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
30.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
69.4%
98
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
4-1
Lyon
Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
Nuamah (37')
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
rhs 2.0
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5Chelsea37199963432066
6Aston Villa3719995849966
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton37151396258458
9Brentford37167146556955
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3714111256461053
12Crystal Palace371313115050052
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37125205368-1541
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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