Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
54.27% ( -1.21) | 22.42% ( 0.3) | 23.31% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% ( -0.35) | 41.13% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% ( -0.36) | 63.53% ( 0.35) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.87% ( -0.52) | 15.13% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.3% ( -0.98) | 43.7% ( 0.98) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( 0.59) | 31.2% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( 0.69) | 67.54% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |