Arminia Bielefeld2 - 1Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Friday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
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We said: Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen have been porous at the back in recent weeks, and it would be surprising if they kept a clean sheet. Arminia Bielefeld have already beaten two Bundesliga clubs in the DFB-Pokal this season, and they will be confident they can take advantage of the struggling visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arminia Bielefeld in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arminia Bielefeld.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Werder Bremen |
50.47% ( 0) | 22.49% ( -0) | 27.04% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.23% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
