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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Werder Bremen

Kane (56' pen., 90+7' pen.), Sane (82')
Goretzka (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jung (54'), Weiser (54'), Silva (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Mainz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 5-1 Werder Bremen

It is difficult to see Werder Bremen keeping the Bavarians out given they are set to be without a number of key defenders. Considering Bayern's rampant displays in the final third this term, they should be confident of scoring multiple times on Friday, but it would not be surprising if they conceded at least once given their own defensive struggles of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.41%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 5.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
84.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 10.03% (0.016 0.02) 5.56% (0.013 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.05% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)22.94% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.81% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)42.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.2% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)3.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.77% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)16.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.6% (0.011999999999993 0.01)45.39% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.75% (0.010000000000002 0.01)81.24% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 84.41%
    Werder Bremen 5.56%
    Draw 10.03%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.05%
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.56%
6-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
7-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 84.41%
1-1 @ 4.46% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 10.03%
1-2 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 5.56%

How you voted: Bayern vs Werder Bremen

Bayern Munich
76.8%
Draw
15.9%
Werder Bremen
7.3%
82
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Werder Bremen
0-5
Bayern
Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
0-1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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