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Stuttgart
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Arminia Bielefeld logos

Stuttgart
6 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Stenzel (20'), Endo (24'), Pfeiffer (28', 52'), Wamangituka (39'), Guirassy (67')
Stenzel (34')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Serra (45'), Prietl (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Stuttgart and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld

Stuttgart will come into the game as huge favourites and with a bit of momentum following their big win at the weekend, and the form of Silas Katompa Mvumpa is a big plus point for Michael Wimmer's side. Bielefeld need to sort their league form out quickly and their heads may be elsewhere as a very tough cup fixture awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawArminia Bielefeld
50.64% (-0.646 -0.65) 23.32% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 26.03% (0.574 0.57)
Both teams to score 58.31% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.16 0.16)42.62% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.159 0.16)65.02% (-0.155 -0.16)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (-0.176 -0.18)16.93% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (-0.315 -0.31)47% (0.319 0.32)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (0.532 0.53)29.8% (-0.528 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (0.638 0.64)65.88% (-0.634 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 50.64%
    Arminia Bielefeld 26.04%
    Draw 23.31%
StuttgartDrawArminia Bielefeld
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 50.64%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.106 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.04%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Arminia Bielefeld

Stuttgart
77.4%
Draw
16.1%
Arminia Bielefeld
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
Stuttgart
Kruger (59')
Brunner (28')
Kalajdzic (25' pen.)
Kalajdzic (29'), Anton (33'), Tomas (47'), Karazor (73'), Matarazzo (90+1'), Mangala (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
3-0
Stuttgart
Klos (27'), Kempf (47' og.), Doan (86')
Yabo (60')
Mar 9, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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