MX23RW : Friday, January 17 19:30:29| >> :600:425222:425222:
Barrow
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Derby logo

Barrow
0 - 0
Derby

FT

Chirewa (13'), Mendez-Laing (70')
Barrow win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Barrow and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Barrow 1-2 Derby County

While the hosts will be full of confidence after a 4-0 win in their last game, but the visitors boast more quality throughout their squad and should secure a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawDerby County
34.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.004999999999999 0)73.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.01400000000001 0.01)28.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.04% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 34.53%
    Derby County 39.07%
    Draw 26.39%
BarrowDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.07%

How you voted: Barrow vs Derby

Barrow
30.2%
Draw
6.3%
Derby County
63.5%
63
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2020 12pm
First Round
Derby
0-0
Barrow
(Aggregate 0-0 | Derby win 3-2 on penalties)
Brown (44'), Jones (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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