MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 01:05:32| >> :600:445325:445325:
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Smith (67' og.)
Trippier (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cook (47')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United reach the EFL Cup quarter-finals after a 1-0 win over Bournemouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
58.62% (-3.634 -3.63) 21.09% (0.227 0.23) 20.29% (3.408 3.41)
Both teams to score 58.61% (5.724 5.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18% (4.474 4.47)38.82% (-4.471 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (4.56 4.56)61.13% (-4.558 -4.56)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.34699999999999 0.35)12.99% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (0.701 0.7)39.51% (-0.7 -0.7)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (6.335 6.34)32.64% (-6.334 -6.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (6.514 6.51)69.18% (-6.513 -6.51)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 58.62%
    Bournemouth 20.29%
    Draw 21.09%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-1.709 -1.71)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-1.816 -1.82)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-1.076 -1.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.621 0.62)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.502 -0.5)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.337 0.34)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.852 0.85)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.957 -0.96)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.417 0.42)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.775 0.78)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.35 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.595 0.6)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.564 0.56)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
73.9%
Draw
11.6%
Bournemouth
14.5%
138
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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