MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:29:45| >> :600:332458:332458:
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Smith (67' og.)
Trippier (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cook (47')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United reach the EFL Cup quarter-finals after a 1-0 win over Bournemouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
58.62% (-3.634 -3.63) 21.09% (0.227 0.23) 20.29% (3.408 3.41)
Both teams to score 58.61% (5.724 5.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18% (4.474 4.47)38.82% (-4.471 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (4.56 4.56)61.13% (-4.558 -4.56)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.34699999999999 0.35)12.99% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (0.701 0.7)39.51% (-0.7 -0.7)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (6.335 6.34)32.64% (-6.334 -6.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (6.514 6.51)69.18% (-6.513 -6.51)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 58.62%
    Bournemouth 20.29%
    Draw 21.09%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-1.709 -1.71)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-1.816 -1.82)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-1.076 -1.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.621 0.62)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.502 -0.5)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.337 0.34)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.852 0.85)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.957 -0.96)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.417 0.42)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.775 0.78)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.35 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.595 0.6)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.564 0.56)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
73.9%
Draw
11.6%
Bournemouth
14.5%
138
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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