MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:06:57| >> :600:843036:843036:
Morecambe
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
4 - 2
Forest U21s

Tollitt (42', 87'), Brown (67'), Hope (78')
Williams (15'), Stott (45+2'), Songo'o (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Back (22'), Lewis (50' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Morecambe and Nottingham Forest Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Forest U21s 0-2 Saints U21s
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Morecambe 2-1 Nottingham Forest Under-21s

 We are expecting a tight match on Tuesday, with Morecambe struggling at the bottom of League Two, but we are backing the home side to navigate their way to a vital win in the Group C fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
46.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 23.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 30.3% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.97% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (0.258 0.26)40.57% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (0.266 0.27)62.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.084999999999994 0.08)17.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (0.151 0.15)48.61% (-0.152 -0.15)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (0.179 0.18)25.77% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (0.24400000000001 0.24)60.72% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 46.18%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 30.3%
    Draw 23.51%
MorecambeDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Forest U21s

Morecambe
62.1%
Draw
20.7%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s
17.2%
29
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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