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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
2 - 1
Morecambe

Costelloe (36' pen., 45+1')
Rawson (51'), Costelloe (75'), O'Brien (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tollitt (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
41.57% (0.064 0.06) 25.92% (0.222 0.22) 32.5% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-1.027 -1.03)50.44% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.916 -0.92)72.37% (0.914 0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.423 -0.42)24.03% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (-0.605 -0.6)58.29% (0.603 0.6)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.693 -0.69)29.22% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.862 -0.86)65.17% (0.86 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 41.57%
    Morecambe 32.51%
    Draw 25.91%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.287 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-2
Morecambe
Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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