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Fleetwood Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Morecambe

Fleetwood
2 - 2
Morecambe

Graydon (34'), Coughlin (45+3')
Helm (42'), Bonds (45+5'), Bolton (71'), Johnston (81'), Hunt (84'), Graydon (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Songo'o (74'), Hope (86')
Songo'o (38'), Angol (40'), Tollitt (63'), Harrack (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-0 Morecambe

Although Morecambe would have taken some confidence from their recent 3-3 home draw against Colchester, they have lost all three of their away league games this season, and we think that they will experience more disappointment on their travels when they face a Fleetwood side that have won three of their five competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawMorecambe
49.17% (-0.223 -0.22) 25.29% (0.346 0.35) 25.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-1.174 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-1.49 -1.49)51.46% (1.492 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (-1.314 -1.31)73.26% (1.316 1.32)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.693 -0.69)20.94% (0.696 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-1.097 -1.1)53.68% (1.098 1.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-0.904 -0.9)34.92% (0.906 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-0.965 -0.97)71.66% (0.967 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 49.16%
    Morecambe 25.54%
    Draw 25.28%
Fleetwood TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.426 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.268 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 25.54%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Morecambe

Fleetwood Town
88.5%
Draw
6.6%
Morecambe
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
1-1
Fleetwood
Gnahoua (32')
Love (49'), Hunter (69')
Andrew (83')
Andrew (69')
Lane (90+6')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Fleetwood
1-2
Morecambe
Johnson (82')
Pilkington (90+5')
Pilkington (90+6')
Jones (11'), Stockton (90+4')
McLoughlin (43'), Stockton (90+5')
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
-
Fleetwood
2-1
Morecambe
Burns (25'), McGowan (72' og.)
Ekpolo (94')
Ekpolo (51' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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