Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 3-1 Groningen
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Goals
for
for
30
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 FC Twente
In addition to their resurgent league form, AZ have got the better of Twente in recent meetings at the AFAS, winning seven of the last nine encounters. The visitors have also struggled on the road against sides currently in the top six, with all three of their away league losses this season coming against such teams, and we feel this Saturday's outcome will not be an exception. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
54.53% ( 0.07) | 21.5% ( 0.03) | 23.97% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 62.52% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
