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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-3 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Feyenoord |
14.32% ( 0.04) | 16.81% ( -0.03) | 68.87% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 61.79% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71% ( 0.26) | 28.99% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.03% ( 0.32) | 49.97% ( -0.31) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.93% ( 0.22) | 33.07% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.34% ( 0.25) | 69.66% ( -0.25) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.32% ( 0.07) | 7.67% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.61% ( 0.16) | 27.38% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 14.32% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 16.81% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.36% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 68.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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