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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Nantes

Juventus
1 - 1
Nantes

Vlahovic (13')
Chiesa (54'), Danilo (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blas (60')
Castelletto (45+1'), Mohamed (57'), Corchia (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, February 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Juventus 1-0 Nantes

The odd aberration aside, Juventus give very little away at the back, while Nantes are hardly prolific, for all their much-improved form. A low-scoring encounter should ensue, and a one-goal margin of victory for the Old Lady would keep the tie finely balanced ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawNantes
50.44% (0.127 0.13) 26.06% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 23.49% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 47.21% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (-0.136 -0.14)56.01% (0.138 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-0.111 -0.11)77.1% (0.114 0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74%22.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (-0.201 -0.2)39.26% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (-0.188 -0.19)75.97% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 50.44%
    Nantes 23.49%
    Draw 26.06%
JuventusDrawNantes
1-0 @ 13.13% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.49%

How you voted: Juventus vs Nantes

Juventus
78.7%
Draw
10.4%
Nantes
10.9%
202
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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