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Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Monza

Juventus
2 - 1
Monza

Kean (8'), Chiesa (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valoti (24')
Antov (59'), Rovella (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 5-1 Juventus
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Monza

For all Monza's improvement and Juve's stumbles, it remains a tall task for the visitors to reach the quarter-finals given the calibre of their opponents. Factoring in a tally of just two wins from nine away fixtures this term, even a much-altered Juve side should see off the Biancorossi's threat and progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Monza had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawMonza
50.96% (0.0049999999999955 0) 24.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (0.010000000000005 0.01)47.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.26% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34% (0.009999999999998 0.01)49.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 50.95%
    Monza 24.94%
    Draw 24.1%
JuventusDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.94%

How you voted: Juventus vs Monza

Juventus
83.5%
Draw
12.6%
Monza
3.9%
127
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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