MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:28:29| >> :600:87234:87234:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Victory Road

Leiston
1 - 1
Hornchurch

Kyran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nash (56')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Leiston 3-1 Brentwood Town
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Leiston win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
LeistonDrawAFC Hornchurch
30.43% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 23.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 46.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.5% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.023000000000003 0.02)59.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.93% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (0.0030000000000001 0)47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leiston 30.43%
    AFC Hornchurch 46.47%
    Draw 23.1%
LeistonDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.43%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 46.47%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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